Japan Snap Election Opinion Poll 2017 Predictions Survey Results

Last Modified: October 4, 2017 at 8:03 am

Japan Snap Election Opinion Poll 2017 Predictions Survey Results

Japan Snap Election Opinion Poll 2017 Predictions Survey results support for Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe fell in two polls released Monday, three weeks before a generalJapan Snap Election Opinion Poll 2017 Predictions Survey Results election where Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike’s new Party of Hope threatens to eat into his majority.

The premier’s approval rate dropped below his disapproval rate in polls by Kyodo News and the Asahi newspaper. Almost 46 percent of respondents to the Kyodo survey said they saw Abe as an appropriate person to be prime minister, compared with 33 percent who chose Koike, whose power base is largely in and around the capital.

About 24 percent said they’d vote for Abe’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party with nearly 15 percent opting for Koike’s party in the proportional representation section of the Oct. 22 election. Forty-three percent said they hadn’t decided.

 

Abe Support Falls as Koike Steals Spotlight Before Election 

While Koike may fall short of unseating Abe — her party plans to field candidates in only about half of the 465 seats up for grabs — her rise to national prominence has shaken up an election that Abe called to capitalize on public support for his tough stance against North Korea and what had been seen as an opposition in disarray. Koike last week succeeded in swinging much of what was the country’s second-largest political force — the opposition Democratic Party — behind her.

Abe’s LDP unveiled its election manifesto Monday, formalizing the premier’s economic pledges, including diverting some revenue from a 2019 sales-tax hike to fund education. With six straight quarters of growth and confidence among large manufacturers at the highest level in a decade, Abe is likely to point to his economic record to garner support.

Read here for more on why Abe called the snap election 

Abe called the snap election more than a year ahead of schedule, seeking to nip in the bud the challenge from Koike. But despite the short timeline to the election, dozens of former Democratic Party lawmakers are likely to run under the banner of her fledgling party.

She could potentially deprive Abe’s LDP of its single-handed majority, putting him under pressure to step down as party leader when his term expires in September.

The Party of Hope has taken an opposing stance to Abe on two key issues. It will seek to phase out nuclear
power, and is calling for the planned sales-tax hike to be frozen for fear of damaging the economy.

Koike is preparing to field more than 220 candidates, according to the Yomiuri newspaper. While she can’t win a majority with such a limited list of names, it remains to be seen if she forms other alliances. She has agreed with a regional conservative group, Nippon Ishin no Kai, that the two parties will not run candidates against one another in Osaka.

Japanese general election Result, 2014 

Political Party

 

Local Constituency Vote

PR Block Vote

Total Seats

+/-

 

Votes

 %

Seats

Votes

 %

Seats

Total

 %

Before

Last

 

Coalition

26,226,838

49.54%

232

24,973,152

46.82%

94

326

68.63%

0

1

 

Liberal Democratic Party

LDP

25,461,448

48.10%

223

17,658,916

33.11%

68

291

61.26%

-4

-3

Komeito

NKP

765,390

1.45%

9

7,314,236

13.71%

26

35

7.37%

4

4

 

Democratic Party

DPJ

11,916,849

22.51%

38

9,775,991

18.33%

35

73

15.37%

10

16

 

Innovation Party

JIP

4,319,645

8.16%

11

8,382,699

15.72%

30

41

8.63%

-1

New

 

Japan Communist Party

JCP

7,040,130

13.30%

1

6,062,962

11.37%

20

21

4.42%

13

13

 

Party for Future Generations

PFG

947,395

1.79%

2

1,414,919

2.65%

0

2

0.42%

-17

New

 

Social Democratic Party

SDP

419,347

0.79%

1

1,314,441

2.46%

1

2

0.42%

0

0

 

People's Life Party

PLP

514,575

0.97%

2

1,028,721

1.93%

0

2

0.42%

-3

New

 

New Renaissance Party

NRP

16,597

0.03%

0

0

0.00%

0

0

 

Others

 

43,546

0.08%

0

364,965

0.69%

0

0

0.00%

0

0

 

Independents

 

1,511,242

2.85%

8

8

1.68%

-7

3

 

Total

 

52,939,789

100.00%

295

53,334,447

100.00%

180

475

100%

-5[10]

 

 

 

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