Spanish Socialist party faces turmoil as rebels avoid third election, Spanish third national election 2016,Pedro Sanchez , conservative People Party, Mariano Rajoy

Spanish Socialist party faces turmoil as rebels avoid third election, Spanish third national election 2016,Pedro Sanchez , conservative People Party, Mariano Rajoy 

Spain’s political deadlock has taken its most dramatic turn in nine months as the main opposition Socialist party’s leadership has torn itself in two, with members resigning en masse to try to unseat their leader and avoid a third unwinnable election.

A stand-off between the Socialists, headed by Pedro Sanchez, and the conservative People’s Party (PP) – which won the most votes but fell short of a majority in two inconclusive elections – has frustrated repeated attempts to form a government.


With the clock counting down to a possible third national election in December, the Socialist rebels hope they can oust Sanchez and seek ways to break the deadlock, including a potential abstention in a confidence vote to let acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy stay in power.

On Wednesday, the 17 rebels resigned from the Socialist’s 38-strong executive committee, which was already down three members, and called for Sanchez, who oversaw the party’s worst election result in June, to stand down.

In a confidence vote in August, Sanchez refused to allow a minority government led by Rajoy, whose party he chastises as corrupt and committed to austerity.

Since his election in 2011, Mr. Rajoy has presided over Spain’s recovery from a punishing recession but lost support among voters stung by austerity measures and angry over corruption scandals.

With his party holding 137 of the current parliament’s 350 seats, Mr. Rajoy would have a shot at winning a new term next month if at least some of the Socialists, the second-largest bloc with 85 seats, abstained rather than voting against him, as they did this month.

Spain may faces third general election as Rajoy loses confidence vote, Mariano Rajoy, Rajoy loses confidence Vote, Spain Re-election schedule 2016 in December, Spain general election schedule/dates/timeline 2016

Spain may faces third general election as Rajoy loses confidence vote, Mariano Rajoy, Rajoy loses confidence Vote, Spain Re-election schedule 2016 in December, Spain general election schedule/dates/timeline 2016

Spain faces a third general election after acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy failed to gain enough support on Wednesday in the investiture.

  1. The People's Party (PP) leader Rajoy obtained 170 votes in favor and 180 against after 11 hours of debate at the Spanish Congress of Deputies. He needed an absolute majority in this first attempt, the support of 176 members of the Congress of Deputies.
  2. Rajoy had the support of centre-right party Ciudadanos (32 seats) and regional party Coalicion Canaria (one seat) while on the other hand, another six political parties voted against, including the main opposition party, Spain's Socialist Party (PSOE), whose leader Pedro Sanchez had already announced his opposition to a government led by Rajoy.
  3. Left wing Unidos Podemos (71 seats) and regional parties ERC (nine seats), PDC (eight seats), PNV (five seats), EH Bildu (two seats) voted against.

Members of the Congress of Deputies will meet again on Friday in order to vote again when Rajoy would need absolute majority or the abstention of 11 deputies. If he has not got enough support, Spanish King Felipe VI could start another round of meetings in order to choose another candidate.

If it is impossible to form government, Spain would hold general election for the third time in a row which is scheduled for Dec. 25.

If there is no breakthrough, voters will be asked to return to the polls on December 25, the date determined by timings laid out in Spanish election law.


Socialists and other parties have already proposed shortening the campaign so a repeat election can be held on December 18.

The 61-year-old candidate is trying to piece together the first administration since Spain’s traditional two-party system broke down with the emergence of Ciudadanos and Podemos at last December’s election. While the PP was the only group to increase its vote at a re-run in June, and has considerable common ground with the Socialists on policy, Rajoy is struggling to clinch enough support because of unresolved corruption allegations against his party.

“A third election would be very bad news for all Spaniards,” acting Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Saenz de Santamaria told reporters after the vote. “I hope we can all look in the mirror in the coming days and think about our responsibilities.”

 

Spain’s acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy wins support from centrists, Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, Socialists (PSOE) ,spain general election, span opinion poll, spanish opinion poll 2016

Spain's acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy wins support from centrists, Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, Socialists (PSOE) ,spain general election, span opinion poll, spanish opinion poll 2016

Mariano Rajoy, Spain’s caretaker prime minister, boosted his prospects of remaining in office when, after eight months of deadlock, a centrist party agreed to back him in parliamentary confidence votes this week.

The pact unveiled on Sunday between Mr Rajoy’s conservative Partido Popular and the Ciudadanos movement comes after the dogged prime minister had struggled to win the backing of any of his rivals for months.

Without further support, Mr Rajoy will have to fight a third general election within a year — following inconclusive votes in December and June that left the PP with most seats in Spain’s lower house of parliament, but well short of a majority.


But the deal with Ciudadanos, which had previously insisted on his resignation, is likely to bolster his reputation as a survivor.

Despite his failures to triumph at the last two polls, Mr Rajoy, who only won a general election at his third attempt in 2011, has ridden out a series of corruption scandals affecting in his party, remaining firmly at the helm of the PP.

On Wednesday, Mr Rajoy faces an investiture vote in parliament. With the backing of Ciudadanos he can rely on the support of 170 MPs, six short of the total he needs for an absolute majority. If he loses, which is widely expected, a second vote on Friday would take place in which he would require just a simple majority.

With the opposition Socialist so far refusing to countenance even abstaining in Friday’s vote, Mr Rajoy looks likely to fail and on Saturday conceded that the prospect of forming a government was “more a wish than a fact”.

The failed investiture votes would trigger the countdown to fresh elections, which could fall on Christmas Day.

Mr Rajoy lost his majority last December amid allegations of slush funds run for party members and kickbacks from construction contracts that helped persuade voters to back fledgling parties such as Ciudadanos and the leftwing Podemos party.

source

Spain Elections: Rajoy PP Grand Coalition Alliance Government Socialist Coalicion Canaria PP, Coalition talks with Socialists, Spain alliance news, Spain Election News, Spain Government Formation, Spain News 2016

Spain Elections: Rajoy PP Grand Coalition Alliance Government Socialist Coalicion Canaria PP, Coalition talks with Socialists, Spain alliance news, Spain Election News, Spain Government Formation, Spain News 2016

Latest on Spain Government Formation

  1. Socialist party leader ruled out supporting  PM Mariano Rajoy's People's Party (PP). “We will vote against (Mariano) Rajoy as a prime ministerial candidate,” Sanchez said after a nearly hour-and-a-half meeting with the acting PM.
  2. Can lead to third election after seven months of uncertainty.
  3. Mr Rajoy said he would try to form a new government if asked by the king. The PP is the largest party in parliament but cannot form a coalition.
  4. On July 19, the Congress of Deputies will meet for its first session, and then will consult with King Felipe VI. I think, in the last week of July — the first week of August the vote on Rajoy candidacy will likely to take place," Rivera said

Options left for Government formation

  1. To help put PP Ciudadanos Party and atleast 6 Independents or smaller parties need to support PP. But this would lead to highly unstable governement.
  2. Other option is that PP gets backed by PSOE or the Socialists, but even this looks bleak since it is one of the main rival parties and it would be against the mandate of the people who votes for PSOE.
  3. Third and most dreaded option would be an election again in Spain, which can lead to instability in the country and bad for its economy.

Spain Election results Live VotingWhat Rajoy's PP Party is doing to Form Majority Government and end instability.

  1. Centre-Right People's Party failed to get an absolute majority, they took 33% of the vote, up from 29% in the December election. Now PP has 137 seats in the 350-member, Mr Rajoy will remain prime minister Or head of a coalition or minority administration.
  2. The prime minister tried to form Alliance with Socialiststo form “grand coalition” but Socialist leaders rejected that.
  3. Brexit also had an effect on Spain elections as Spain’s stockmarket fell by 12.4% on June 24th
  4. Mr Rajoy became prime minister in 2011 with Spain deep in recession and had set it on the path to economic recovery, by cleaning up the banks and reforming the labour market.

     
  5. Rajoy is trying to form Coalition with other smaller parties and had met head of the regional government of the Canary Islands, Fernando Clavijo, who also heads Coalicion Canaria party.
  6. The Popular Party won 137 seats in last weekend's vote – the most of any party and 14 more than in December but still not enough for an absolute majority in the 350-seat assembly.
  7. To form a government the PP needs the backing of either its longtime Socialist opponents, who came second in the poll, or that of fourth-placed business friendly party Ciudadanos and several smaller groups.
  8. At the very least, Rajoy would need the other parties to agree to abstain in a confidence vote to allow a minority PP government to function.
  9. The result leaves Spain in confusion and instability, with a coalition government now necessary to reach 176 seats.Rajoy has already expressed a desire to negotiate with the PSOE.

Ciudadanos  Party might agree to support PP on one condition that Rajoy is not the PM candidate.

Current Situation in Spain with Results.

Party Seats 2016 Vote% 2016 Seats 2015 Vote% 2015 Swing (2016 vote% – 2015 vote%)
PP 137 33% 122 28.72% 4.28%
PSOE (Socialists) 85 23% 90 22.01% 1.01%
Unidos Podemos 71 21% 69 20.66% 1.66%
Ciudadanos  32 13% 40 13.93% -0.93%
Others 25 10% 29 14.68% -4.68%

Looking at the Election Results it is clear that PP gained on vote % of Other smaller parties and Independents. From 2015 PP seats were by 15 seats. Still it is not a clear majority and it would need support of atleast in all 176 members which is 39 short of the magic numbers.

 

 

Spain Exit Polls, Spanish General Election 2016 Exit polls, Spain repeat election exit polls, Popular Party, Podemos,PSOE

Spain Exit Polls, Spanish General Election 2016 Exit polls, Spain repeat election exit polls, Popular Party, Podemos,PSOE

The outgoing conservative Popular Party (PP) had based much of its campaign on trying to counter the rise of the upstart, emphasising the need for "stability" in the face of "populism" — and it reinforced this message Friday after Brexit. 

But according to a wide-ranging exit poll for public television TVE, it may only have won up to 121 parliamentary seats, far below the 176 needed for an absolute majority and even lower than the 123 it won in December.

ALSO READ:

Spain Election News

Spain Opinion Polls

Spain General Election Live Results

Unidos Podemos, meanwhile, looked poised to secure 91 to 95 seats, and the Socialists 81 to 85, according to the poll. 

TVE Exit Polls

Popular Party

117-121 seats

Unidos Podemos

91 – 95 seats

Socialists 

81 – 85

Ciudadanos

25-30 seats

But this also resulted in a 350-seat parliament so splintered that parties failed to agree on a coalition, prompting today's repeat vote. The general election in December had seen Podemos and centre-right upstart Ciudadanos uproot the country's two-party dominance in an unprecedented result. 

All eyes will now be on subsequent coalition negotiations, with political leaders under more pressure this time to form some sort of government and avoid a third round of elections. 

Throughout the campaign — and again on Friday after the Brexit vote — the PP had hammered away at the need for stability in reference to the rise of Unidos Podemos, which like Greece's ruling Syriza party rejects EU-backed austerity and pledges to fight for the least well-off.

Spain General Election Live Voting %, 26th June Spanish Election Result 2016 Latest News Update, Spain Election Results 2016, Spain Election Day, Spain Election Voting % Live, Spain Election Latest News

Spain General Election Results Live Voting %, 26th June Spanish Election Opinion Polls 2016 Latest News Update, Spain Election Results 2016, Spain Election Day, Spain Election Voting % Live, Spain Election Latest News

The PP has won Spain’s repeat election, doing even better than it did at the original vote on December 20. Total Turnout was 70 percent, three points lower than in December. 

Read More: Latest on Rajoy's PP Efforts to form Government in Spain. Is Spain headed towards 3rd elections in an year.

Live Voting % Highlights

 
  1. PP has won Spain’s repeat election, winning more seats than in December 2015
  2. 2016 election results PP 33%; PSOE 23%; UNIDOS PODEMOS 21%; Ciudadanos 13%
  3. Acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy is still short of a majority
  4. PSOE leader Pedro Sanchez says his party is the "foremost political power on the left"
  5. Unidos Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias failed to beat the Socialists to second place
  6. Pablo Iglesias: "We are not at all satisfied with these results"
  7. Polls open at 07:00 GMT and close at 18:00 GMT
  8. People across Spain are casting their ballots for the second time in six months Last one was in december 2015. Since then Spain has no governement only an acting government by PP led by acting PM Rajoy.
  9. Sunday's repeat vote comes after the four main political parties failed to form any kind of coalition.
  10. Latest Opinion polls still suggest, political deadlock and no Single Party will be able to get absolute Majority.
  11. The polls suggest that the conservative Popular Party (PP) will again majority but not good enough to form government alone. 

Some Highlights ahead of Polls : Spain General Election Results Live Voting %

  1. The ruling conservative Popular Party (PP) led by acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy is expected to take the largest share of the vote.
  2. A leftist coalition, Unidos Podemos, would come second, followed by the Socialists and Ciudadanos.But no party is seen as coming close to an overall majority of seats.
  3. Spanish newcomers Podemos and Ciudadanos winning over voters ahead of federal election Spain Election results Live Voting
  4. The December election gave the Mariano Rajoy's ruling center-right Popular Party 123 seats in the 350-member Congress, while PSOE got 90, followed by two new parties in the national scene, Podemos with 69 seats, and Ciudadanos with 40.
  5. The Brexit twist? If U.K. voters surprise the markets with an EU exit, that could alter the outcome of the Spanish election.

Spain Election Schedule/Date/TimeLine: 

  1. Election to be held on June 26th, 2016
  2. Campaigning starts officially from June 10th, 2016

Spain Opinion Polls

All the Opinion Polls Show PP(Popular Party) at first position,Unidos Podemos at second and then PSOE, Ciudadanos. See summary of other Opinion Polls for Spain here

  1. Surveys published in El Pais, El Mundo and El Espanol show PM Mariano Rajoy's conservative

     

     

     

     

     

     

    1. Popular Party(PP) at 1st 27.7-31 percent,
    2. 2nd is Podemos lead Coaliation made of Podemos and Izquierda Unida with 23.7-25.6% and
    3. at 3rd is Socialists at 20.2-21.6%

 

Spain general election news 2016, Spain Latest Opinion Poll, Spain re elections 2016, Spain elections on 26th June, Venezuela effect on spain elections, El Pais and El Mundo polls, Who is winning spain elections

Spain general election news, Spain Latest Opinion Poll, Spain re elections 2016, Spain elections on 26th June, Venezuela effect on spain elections, El Pais and El Mundo polls, Who is winning spain elections spain_flag

Official results give the PP 137 seats in the 350-seat parliament and the PSOE 85 – confounding an earlier exit poll suggesting the Socialists would slip into third place.Unidos Podemos have won 71 and Ciudadanos 32. Both parties are relative newcomers to the Spanish political scene. 

ALSO READ: Spain general election 2015 Result Vote share Parliament seat Opinion Exit Poll Schedule

ALSO READ: Spain general election 2011 Result Vote share Parliament seat Opinion Exit Poll Schedule

Party Seats Vote%
PP 137 33%
PSOE  85 23%
Unidos Podemos 71 21%
Ciudadanos  32 13%
Others 25 10%
Spain 2015 general election result
PP 122 seats 28.72%
Socialists 90 seats 22.01%
Podemos 69 seats 20.66%
Ciudadanos 40 setas 13.93%
others 29 seats 14.68%

25 juneeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

Highlights Latest News on Spain general elections  

  1. Still it is 4 cornered fight and according to Latest Opinion poll, conservative Popular Party (PP) is still not getting absolute majority. 
  2. Just after six months there is another elections in Spain.
  3. There has never been a coalation governmet in Spain, but looking at other countries in the region it is getting more acceptable now.
  4. Main problems in the country bein Unemployement, Corruption and Immigration is the latest cause of worry in whole Europe.
  5. Polls suggest the Popular Party will win the most votes as it did on Dec. 20 but again fall far short of the parliamentary majority it held from 2011-2015. The surveys have indicated the Socialists and Unidos Podemos will come at 2nd place and Ciudadanos will come in fourth.
  6. All the Opinion Polls Show PP(Popular Party) at first position, Unidos Podemos at second and theb PSOE, Ciudadanos. See summary of other Opinion Polls for Spain here
  7. So the Elections which are to be held on 26th June 2016 would not be able to establish a clear winner again and Coalation could be the choice for Spanish people.

Spain 2015 Election Results
Popular Party – 28.72% 122 seats
Socialists – 22.02% – 90 Seats
Podemos – 20.66% – 69 seats

 

Podemos (We Can) Party seen losing support ahead of Spain election, Spain General election June 2016,Spain Repeat election June 2016,Spain June Election Survey

Podemos (We Can) Party seen losing support ahead of Spain election, Spain General election June 2016,Spain Repeat election June 2016,Spain June Election Survey

Anti-austerity party of Spain’s, Podemos, is losing support ahead of country’s repeat general election to be held on June 26, an official survey showed here on Friday, although the vote would remain highly divided and would result in a hung parliament.

According to the poll, the voters would not go back to the two-party system that has dominated Spain’s political history for 40 years and would split their vote between 10 parties, even after the five months talk between political parties after a December election resulted in a failure to form government.

The poll predicted that Podemos would get 17.7% of votes against 20.6% they got in December election, while the conservative People’s Party of the acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy would win the voting with 27.4% which is down from 28.7% they got during December election. The Socialists would end second with 21.6% of the votes, down from 22.01%, and Liberal Ciudadonas would end at fourth place with 15.6% which is an up from 13.93% they secured in December.

This means that at least three parties, or may be more, would be required to reach an absolute majority in the Spanish parliament and form a stable government.

But there are several factors that could change the situation and help break the deadlock, the poll result showed.

During the December election Spain saw its highest Abstinence rate till date on record which is likely to increase further. The poll records 27.4% of the voters saying they are undecided or are likely to home compared to 24.5% of the voters in the previous survey that was done in January.

Currently a potential tie-up between Podemos and former Communist United left is under discussion that would jointly obtain 23.1% of the votes and thus becoming the main left-wing force ahead of the Socialists.

The survey was carried out on 2,500 voters in early April that is before it was clear whether a new election would be called or not.