US Ohio Election Results 2020 Democratic Republican Primary Candidate Opinion Poll Dates

US Ohio Election Results 2020 Democratic Republican Primary Candidate Opinion Poll Dates

Latest Date for US Ohio Democratic Primary: 28th April 2020

Find US Ohio Election Results 2020 Democratic Republican Primary Candidate Opinion Poll Dates.

The 2020 Ohio Democratic primary will take place in Ohio, United States, through April 28, 2020, as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The state awards 153 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 136 are pledged delegates allocated based on the results of the primary.
In-person voting, originally scheduled for March 17, 2020, was cancelled because of the coronavirus pandemic. The legislature and governor made the decision to run an all-mail primary, with no in-person voting, allowing votes to be received through April 28

John Kasich Biography Age Wikipedia Family Marriage Education CareerUS Ohio Election Result 2016 Live By county Republican Democrats

    
Ohio  voter list 2016, Ohio  voter search, voter information, voter registration, Ohio  Census

    
 

 

 

The primary, originally scheduled for March 17, 2020, has been postponed. The Ohio General Assembly, and not the governor, has the authority to schedule a new election day.
In the semi-open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 136 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 136 pledged delegates, between three and nine are allocated to each of the state's 16 congressional districts and another 18 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 29 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Ohio originally shared a primary date with numerous other states holding contests the week after Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.

 

 

2020 Ohio Democratic primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden      
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)      

CNN / ORC polls: Trump strong in Nevada, Clinton rise in Florida, CNN / ORC Opinion poll, US polls, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump

CNN / ORC polls: Trump strong in Nevada, Clinton rise in Florida, CNN / ORC Opinion poll, US polls, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump

Both the Clinton and Trump campaigns have hit the ground hard in Arizona, Florida, Nevada and Pennsylvania, and new CNN/ORC polls across the four states paint a picture of a tight race to the finish in critical battlegrounds.

Clinton holds a 4-point edge among likely voters in the historically blue-tilting Pennsylvania, and Trump tops Clinton by 5 with voters in red-leaning Arizona. Though both states tilt in the same direction as their 2012 results, the leaders' margins are tighter than their predecessors' final leads were in each state.

Florida appears to be as tight a contest as ever, with Clinton at 49% among likely voters and Trump at 47%. That's an apparent shift in Clinton's direction since the last CNN/ORC poll there in September before the presidential debates began, but still a within-margin-of-error race.


In Nevada, the poll suggests the race has also shifted, with Trump now ahead there 49% to 43%, with 5% behind Libertarian Gary Johnson, compared with a two-point Clinton edge in mid-October.


Tight Senate races, too
All four of these states also have senate seats up for grabs this year, three of the four are incredibly close contests. In Florida, Marco Rubio's once wide lead over Patrick Murphy has evaporated, and the race is now a 1-point contest, 49% back Rubio, 48% Murphy. The Nevada race to replace the Senate's top Democrat Harry Reid has swung back toward Republican Joe Heck, but here too the race is within margin of error, with Heck at 49% to Catherine Cortez Masto's 47%. The margin widens slightly in Pennsylvania, where Republican incumbent Pat Toomey lags behind challenger Katie McGinty by 5 points. In Arizona, John McCain holds a wide lead over challenger Ann Kirkpatrick, topping her 52% to 39%.


The CNN/ORC polls were conducted by telephone Oct. 27-Nov. 1. Results reflect interviews with 867 registered voters and 769 likely voters in Arizona, 884 registered voters and 773 likely voters in Florida, 860 registered voters and 790 likely voters in Nevada and 917 registered voters and 799 likely voters in Pennsylvania. Results among likely voters have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points in each state.
Source: edition.cnn

Trump ahead of Clinton in latest November poll, Washington Post-ABC News Opinion poll, Latest US opinion poll 2016, US election 2016 prediction,Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump

Trump ahead of Clinton in latest November poll, Washington Post-ABC News Opinion poll, Latest US opinion poll 2016, US election 2016 prediction,Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump

The latest polls are released as the Clinton team works to contain damage from the FBI's latest email investigation.

The Washington Post-ABC News poll has Mr Trump on 46 percent to Mrs Clinton's 45 percent support – a one-point lead which is within the poll's margin of error.

When third-party candidates are asked which major-party candidate they lean towards, the margin is 48-47 to Mrs Clinton, the Washington Post said of its poll, which was carried out from Thursday to Sunday.

A Los Angeles Times poll just out gives Mr Trump a four-point national advantage.

However other polls have Mrs Clinton in the lead.

The BBC's poll of polls, puts Mrs Clinton ahead, though with her lead narrowing. The poll of polls looks at the five most recent national surveys and takes the median value.

And the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll on Monday gave a 44-39 lead to Mrs Clinton.

 

Live: US Presidential Election Results 2016 By State By County By district Party, 2016 US election results Candidates margin votes, 2016 US Presidential Polls Result, 2016 election predictions , US election 2016,Hillary Clinton,Donald Trump

Live: US Presidential Election Results 2016 By State By County By district Party, 2016 US election results Candidates margin votes, 2016 US Presidential Polls Result, 2016 election predictions , US election 2016,Hillary Clinton,Donald Trump

The United States presidential election of 2016, scheduled for Tuesday, November 8, 2016, will be the 58th quadrennial U.S. presidential election.

Live: US presidential election Polling 2016 Candidates Winner Votes Live: US Election Results 2016 By Party Candidates

Election Results Live Electoral Votes

  Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Electoral Votes

232

306

 

 

LIVE Highlights and Updates of US Presidential Election 2016 by State:

Who Won the Swing States:

  1. Florida: 29 Electoral college votes – Trump Won(49.1%)
  2. Ohio: 18 Electoral college votes – Trump Won(52.1%)
  3. North Carolina: 15 Electoral college votes – Trump Won(50.5%)
  4. Virginia: 13 Electoral college votes – Clinton Won(49.1%)
  5. Nevada: 6 Electoral college votes – Clinton Won(48.0%)
  6. Colorado: 9 Electoral college votes – Clinton Won(47.6%)
  7. Georgia: 16 Electoral college votes – Trump Won(51.4%)

States Whose Results Have not been declared yet

  1. Alaska: 3 Electoral college votes – Trump Leading
  2. Arizona: 11 Electoral college votes – Trump Leading
  3. Wisconsin: 10 Electoral college votes – Trump Leading
  4. Minnesota: 10 Electoral college votes -Clinton Leading
  5. Michigan: 16 Electoral college votes – Trump Leading
  6. Pennsylvania: 20 Electoral college votes – Trump Leading
  7. Maine: 4 Electoral college votes – Clinton Leading
States Democrats Republicans Electoral Votes
Alabama    Won 9
Alaska    Won 3
Arizona    Won 11
Arkansas    Won 6
California  Won   55
Colorado  Won   9
Connecticut Won   7
Delaware  Won   3
District of Columbia Won   3
Florida    Won 29
Georgia    Won 16
Hawaii  Won   4
Idaho    Won 4
Illinois  Won   20
Indiana    Won 11
Iowa    Won 6
Kansas    Won 6
Kentucky    Won 8
Louisiana    Won 8
Maine      3,1
Maryland  Won   10
Massachetts Won   11
Michigan    Won 16
Minnesota  Won   10
Mississippi    Won 6
Missouri    Won 10
Montana    Won 3
Nebraska    Won 5
Nevada  Won   6
New Hampshire    Won 4
New Jersey  Won   14
New Mexico   Won   5
New York  Won   29
North Carolina    Won 15
North Dakota    Won 3
Ohio    Won 18
Oklahoma    Won 7
Oregon  Won   7
Pennsylvania    Won 20
Rhode Island Won   4
South Carolina    Won 9
 South Dakota    Won 3
Tennessee    Won 11
Texas    Won 38
Utah    Won 6
Vermont  Won   3
Virginia  Won   13
Washington Won   12
West Virginia    Won 5
Wisconsin    Won 10
Wyoming    Won 3

What time will we know who the winner is?
From about 3:00pm AEDT tomorrow

  1. Republicans won the US House
  2. Canada's Immigration Site Crashed After Donald Trump Was Projected to Win US Elections
  3. Polls opened in Florida, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina and part of Tennessee 30 mins ago. Seventeen states in total now open and voting.
  4. Republican nominee Donald Trump wraps up his final rally as America heads to the polls
  5. Find Your Polling Place Here:
  6. Chanakya the fish opted for the Republican candidate Donald Trump for US Polls.
  7. In Millsfield, NH. Trump – 16 , Clinton – 4 , Write-in Bernie Sanders (1)
  8. Hillary Clinton wins early vote in tiny New Hampshire town by a 4-2 margin over Donald Trump.
  9. The first polling stations close on the East Coast at 7:00 pm (0000 GMT Wednesday), and the last far out in Alaska at 0600 GMT Wednesday.
  10. The drama begins at 0000 GMT when polling stations close in Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont, Indiana and Kentucky.
  11. Progress made by US will go down if Clinton doesn't win: Barack Obama
  12. Trump on groping charges: Nobody respects women the way I do, accusations of groping all lies, started by Hillary campaign
  13. Trump to Hillary: She and Obama gave us ISIS
  14. Hillary: Trump thinks belittling women makes him bigger, we all know how he thinks about women.
  15. Lady Gaga has been speaking in support of Hillary Clinton in Raleigh, North Carolina.
  16. New Rueters Ipsos poll – Hillary Clinton 'has 90 per cent chance of winning'
  1. ALSO READ:US Presidential Election Results by year 1789-2012
  2. ALSO READ:How to register to vote in United States
  3. ALSO READ:Online voting registration In United States
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Presidential debate Opinion Poll 2016, Who won the third presidential debate, US Presidential debates winner, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Latest Survey US Presidential debates

Presidential debate Opinion Poll 2016, Who won the third presidential debate, US Presidential debates winner, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Latest Survey US Presidential debates

According to CNN/ORC

Hillary Clinton is the winner of the third and final presidential debate, according to voters in the first opinion polls of the night.

 

Clinton  52%
Trump  39%

One survey, conducted by CNN/ORC, found that 52 per cent of voters believe Ms Clinton won the 90-minute debate on Wednesday night compared to 39 per cent of participants who said that her rival Donald Trump won the contest.
Ms Clinton has now been declared the winner of all three televised debates by the CNN poll.

Democrats accounted for 36 per cent of the 547 registered voters surveyed , while only 29 per cent of respondents were Republicans.

According to the YouGov poll

YouGov poll also declared Ms Clinton the clear winner on Wednesday night. Out of 1,503 registered voters who tuned into the debate, 49 per cent of participants said Ms Clinton came out on top. Thirty-nine per cent of voters argued that Mr Trump won the contest while 12 per cent claimed it was a tie.

 

Clinton  49%
Trump  39%
Tie 12%

Sixty-eight per cent of voters disagreed with Mr Trump by suggesting that both candidates pledge to accept the final election results come November.

Reuters/Ipsos poll:Trump trails Clinton by 8 points after tape scandal, debate, Hillary Clinton , Donald Trump, Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll October , 

Reuters/Ipsos poll:Trump trails Clinton by 8 points after tape scandal, debate, Hillary Clinton , Donald Trump, Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll October

nald Trump has fallen further behind Hillary Clinton and now trails her by 8 points among likely voters, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll, with 1 in 5 Republicans saying his vulgar comments about groping women disqualify him from the presidency.

The national tracking poll was launched after Sunday night’s second presidential debate, where Trump was pressed to explain his comments in a 2005 videotape about grabbing women’s genitalia. He described the remarks, which first surfaced on Friday, as “locker room” banter and apologized to Americans.


The poll released on Tuesday showed Clinton, the Democratic nominee, had increased her lead over Trump, the Republican nominee, to 8 percentage points on Monday from 5 points last week.

Trump was under pressure during Sunday’s debate to restore confidence in his struggling campaign after dozens of lawmakers repudiated him. He hammered Clinton’s handling of classified information while serving as secretary of state and referred to her as “the devil.” At one point, he said he would jail Clinton if he were president.

Among those who said they watched at least portions of the debate, 53 percent said Clinton won while 32 percent said Trump won. The results fell along partisan lines, however: 82 percent of Democrats felt Clinton won, while 68 percent of Republicans felt that Trump won.

Among likely voters who watched the debate, 48 percent said they supported Clinton while 38 percent supported Trump.

‘LOCKER ROOM TALK’

In the 2005 Access Hollywood video Trump boasted about making unwanted sexual advances toward women. “When you’re a star they let you do it,” he is heard saying.

Some 61 percent of those polled said that “lots of men” occasionally engage in similar conversations, and 46 percent, a plurality, said it was unfair to judge someone on conversations “that they did not intend for anyone else to hear.”

Most of those polled said they believe Trump is a sexist, but they were split on whether his comments disqualify him from being president. Some 42 percent of American adults, including 19 percent of registered Republicans, said Trump’s comments disqualified him, while 43 percent said they did not.

Among Republicans, 58 percent said they want Trump to remain atop their party’s ticket, and 68 percent said the Republican leadership should stand by him.

The video doesn’t appear to have worsened Trump’s standing among women, who mostly had a low opinion of him already, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling over the past 12 months.

When asked to pick between the two candidates, about 44 percent of women chose Clinton while 29 percent selected Trump – roughly the same proportion as measured in polls conducted before the weekend.

Trump, however, appears to be shedding support among evangelicals, who are usually a wellspring of support for Republican presidential candidates. Monday’s poll showed that Trump had only a 1-point edge over Clinton among people who identified as evangelicals. That’s down from a 12-point advantage for Trump in July.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll is conducted online in English in all 50 states. The poll of 2,386 American adults included 1,839 people who watched the debates, 1,605 people who were considered likely voters due to their registration status, voting history and stated intention to vote in the election. Among the likely voters, the poll counted 798 Democrats and 586 Republicans.

The poll has a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of 2 percentage points for the entire group, 3 points for likely voters and the debate watchers, 4 points for Democrats and 5 points for Republicans.

National opinion polls have measured support for the candidates in different ways this year, yet most agree that Clinton is leading and that her advantage has strengthened as the general election approaches.

RealClearPolitics, which tracks most major opinion polls, shows Clinton ahead of Trump by an average of 7 percentage points, and that her lead has grown since the middle of September.

Source: www.rawstory.com

Free Press/WXYZ-TV US Opinion poll Clinton leads over trump ,US opinion poll latest survey,Hillary Clinton,Donald Trump

Free Press/WXYZ-TV US Opinion poll Clinton leads over trump ,US opinion poll latest survey,Hillary Clinton,Donald Trump

If the result of a latest poll is to be believed, Democratic presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton, is clearly in an advantageous position against her arch-rival Republican presidential nominee, Donald Trump.

A new Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll released on Thursday showed Clinton regaining an 11-point, 43%-32%, lead over Trump.

Clinton 43%
Trump 32%

8

Women Africans and millennials back Clinton The poll result states that Clinton is strongly supported by WOMEN, Africans and millennials. Moreover, it is Trump's poor debate performance, revelations about his taxes and erratic behaviour, which is harming his presidential prospects.

US 2016 presidential election: Double-digit win for Hillary Clinton says Indian analyst, US opinion poll 2016 latest, US polls, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Observatory Group Latest Survey 2016

US 2016 presidential election: Double-digit win for Hillary Clinton says Indian analyst, US opinion poll 2016 latest, US polls, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Observatory Group Latest Survey 2016

In my earlier article (goo.gl/ADvyPX), I had said that Hillary Clinton will win by a 9% margin. I think that is an under-estimate. Given that opinion polls are saying ‘too close to call’ (and the presidential debates yet to begin), some of you will be tempted to dismiss me as nuts. But I’ll stick to my position: The opinion poll data are at eye-catching odds with historical patterns, and clash with all reasonable assumptions about the pattern continuing. My most-preferred forecast is, in a two-way fight, 57% to Clinton and 43% for Donald Trump. If third-party candidates together poll 10%, the margin might reduce to 11%. If this prediction is accurate, 2016 will be comparable to the Eisenhower-Stevenson election of 1956, when Eisenhower won 57.4 % to Stevenson’s 42%.

Poll forecasts are not for the weak-hearted. I speak with some experience, having conducted several national opinion polls in India in the 1980s and 1990s, and getting some wrong. Armchair election analyses since then have fared considerably better! There are many reasons for opinion polls to go wrong—an unrepresentative sample maybe the most important. And in this age of fast-paced internet polling, a representative voter data sample maybe very difficult to achieve.

In contrast to polls, my forecast is based on broad historical tendencies of actual registered voters. So, there is less room to go wrong, and one can only go wrong if the pattern (who votes for whom) deviates substantially from post-war history. If American registered voters are classified into four mutually-exclusive groups—non-Hispanic Whites (hereafter Whites), Black, Hispanics, and Others—then the accompanying table outlines some basic electoral stats for 2016 estimated by using citizens, registered voters, and turnout data for the 2008- and 2012-presidential elections in the US.

SOME BASIC FACTS AND FIGURES FOR THE US 2016 ELECTION

Race/ Sex Eligible Actual voters Turnout Vote for Vote for Excess vote %D %R
to vote Clinton Trump for Clinton    
  mil mil % mil mil mil % %
Black 28.9 19.5 67.5 18.1 1.4 16.8 93 7
Hispanics 27.1 12.6 46.5 10.1 2.5 7.6 80 20
Others 13.7 6.6 48.2 4.6 2 2.6 70 30
B+H+O 691 38.7 55.5 32.8 5.9 27 84.8 15.2
Whitefemale 79.6 50.5 63.4 25.3 25.3 0 50 50
White male 74.8 45.6 61 18.2 27.4 -9.1 40 60
Whitetotal      154.4 96.1 62.2 43.5 52.6 -9.1 45.3 547
Total             224.1 135 60.2 763 58.5 17.9 56.6 43.4

Source: US Census Bureau. Voter registration data. Gallup polls 1952-2012.
Notes: You can play with the racial propensities to vote to obtain any scenario result. You will find that the probability of Trump even losing by five per cent margin is very low.

 

What matters is not the eligible population, but the actual voting population. To arrive at the latter, one goes through two transformations—from voting age population to registration, and from registration to actual voting. Turnout is the fraction of actual voters to those eligible. Differences in turnout can be meaningful: Note that while the Hispanic and Black eligible populations are near equal (around 29 million each), low registration and turnout stats for the former result in only 12.6 million Hispanic versus 19.5 million Black voters. Blacks had the highest turnout rate in 2012 (66.2%); in second place, were Whites (62%).

Voting behaviour can vary by sex, but only for Whites is this segregation estimated. I assume that for non-Whites, males and females vote with identical propensities for a Democrat or Republican. The non-whites are only a third of the population and representative male-female data are not easily available. So, my forecast, based on estimates of historical propensities to vote for each racial group, is as below (also see accompanying table).

Blacks: It is assumed that Blacks will vote 93% for Clinton and 7% for Trump—this is consistent with the historical record, and opinion polls.

Hispanics: With a two-party adjustment, Hispanics have averaged 67% for Democrats; Obama gained 68% and 72% in the 2008- and 2012-elections. The record-best for the Democrats was in 1996, when Bill Clinton obtained 77% of the two-party Hispanic vote. In 2012, Republican candidate Mitt Romney obtained 28%, and 2016 opinion polls suggest that Trump’s share of the Hispanic vote is running 4-8 percentage points lower than Romney’s.

It seems likely that Trump will receive the lowest historical Republican share of the Hispanic vote. It is unlikely that Trump will do better among Hispanics than Bob Dole did in 1996 (a 23% two-way vote). Given the particular nature of this election, it seems a safe assumption that Hispanics will vote in record amounts for Clinton, at around 80-20.
Others comprise nearly 14 million of the voting age population, but only 6.6 million of registered voters. Asian Americans account for two-thirds of Others. Seventy-three percent of Asian Americans voted for Obama in 2012.
These propensities suggest that in 2016, 38.7 million of non-Whites will vote on election-day, and approximately 85% will vote Democrat. [For the last four elections, 82% of non-whites have voted Democrat]. This implies that Trump starts with a 27 million-vote handicap (32.8 million votes for Clinton, and 5.9 million for Trump). There is likely to be very little movement in this advantage for Clinton; for any movement, Blacks will have to prefer Trump over historic margins, and Hispanics will have to move towards Trump in a very unexpected fashion. Even if it is assumed that Trump receives, among Hispanics, the average of Republican votes obtained since 1980 (33%),

Clinton’s non-white-voter advantage declines by 4 million, to 23 million. And that is still a very large disadvantage for Trump to overcome.

What about the White vote in 2016?

Sixty-nine percent of registered voters are White, comprising 50.5 million females and 45.6 million males. Why do women voters outnumber men so markedly? They live longer, and have a higher turnout. Noteworthy also is the fact that White women traditionally vote Democrat and White men traditionally vote Republican.
Estimates of the White vote (Gallup Polls) for all presidential elections from 1952-2012 indicate that on average, White voters prefer Republicans 55% to 45 %. What one needs, however, is the Republican-Democratic breakdown of White vote by sex. The result, consistent with the historical White average, is that White women split 50-50 and White men prefer Republicans 60-40. This results in a 13.2% spread (56.6-43.4) in favour of Clinton. This is our base case result.

Will White women turn out better than their historical average in an election in which there is a woman candidate for president, and in which women as a group have been insulted by the other presidential candidate? Perhaps not better than what Obama achieved, but equal to what he did obtain, i.e., 55%? This results in a 17% margin for Clinton (White men remain at historical average 40-60).

What about a 1980-Reagan performance by Trump, winning the White vote 61-39? This results in a narrower, but still respectable, 4% margin victory for Hillary Clinton.

Just the average of the above three simulations gives Clinton an 11% advantage. It is improbable that debates, or much else, can change this likely result. What will allow Trump to win? If Trump obtains the same White vote as Reagan obtained in 1984 (60% women and 70% men), 2016 might result in the narrowest of victories for Trump. So, all analysts have to face this question—how close is Trump to Reagan in his appeal? If not close enough, then a Clinton victory is assured.

Recent US polls are close, within ±3%; yet, my historical analysis shows that a close election is very unlikely. Can history be that wrong? If not, then why are the polls so different than the “historical” outcome?

One explanation is that it is in everyone’s interest to show that the race is too close to call. The TV networks ring in the profits—the whole globalised world is clued in. Political websites never had it so good. Why upset the profit-cart?

Democrats prefer an ex-ante close race for a high turnout. If it looks like a landslide, won’t Democrats just stay home on voting day? The Trump camp prefers a close race to help with funding. And the pollsters? After being caught by circumstances (Brexit and Trump), they are playing it safe, erring heavily on the side of caution, since nothing is gained by being an “outlier” at this early stage.

The author is senior India analyst, The Observatory Group, a New York based macro policy advisory group. He conducted several national opinion polls in India in the 1980s and 1990s, and now prefers armchair analysis to polling.

SOURCE


 

Pennsylvania poll: Clinton ahead of Trump by 7 points, The Franklin and Marshall College poll, Pennsylvania latest survey, Franklin and Marshall College poll of Pennsylvania, Trump ,Hillary Clinton

Pennsylvania poll: Clinton ahead of Trump by 7 points, The Franklin and Marshall College poll, Pennsylvania latest survey, Franklin and Marshall College poll of Pennsylvania, Trump ,Hillary Clinton 

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 7 points in Pennsylvania, according to a new poll released Thursday — the second survey this week showing Clinton with a high single-digit lead over Trump in the Keystone State.

The Franklin and Marshall College poll
Clinton  47%
Trump  40%
Monmouth University poll
Clinton  41%
Trump  38%
Johnson  7%
Stein  2%
undecided  13%

The Franklin and Marshall College poll finds Clinton ahead of Trump 47% to 40% among likely voters, which represents a slight decline from a similar poll taken just after the Democratic National Convention (when she led 49% to 38%).
The new numbers are consistent with another Pennsylvania poll from this week — a Monmouth University poll released Tuesday found Clinton leading Trump 48% to 40%.

But in a four-way matchup including third-party candidates, Clinton's lead narrows to 41% over Trump's 38%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 7% and Green Party nominee Jill Stein at 2%.
The poll also has a much higher share of undecideds than other polls do at this stage, with 13% say they don't know who they would support.

Clinton's favorability has suffered a steep decline from her post-convention bounce. The new poll finds Clinton with a 38% favorable/54% unfavorable rating among registered voters, down from 47% favorable/49% unfavorable in July.
The Franklin and Marshall College poll of Pennsylvania was conducted between August 25 and 29, and surveyed 736 Pennsylvania registered voters and 496 likely voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 points for registered voters, and plus or minus 5.6 points for likely voters.

Roanoke College poll: Clinton’s big lead on Trump in Virginia, Virginia latest august opinion poll,US presidential elections 2016, Virginia , Hillary Clinton , Donald Trump

Roanoke College poll: Clinton’s big lead on Trump in Virginia, Virginia latest august opinion poll,US presidential elections 2016, Virginia , Hillary Clinton , Donald Trump

Hillary Clinton has a big lead over Donald Trump in Virginia, according to a new poll released Tuesday, which shows the Democratic nominee with a 16-point advantage in the state.

The Roanoke College poll found Clinton leading Trump 48% to 32% among likely Virginia voters in a four-way race. Libertarian Gary Johnson gets 8% support, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein is backed by 3%. In a two-way race, Clinton leads Trump 55% to 36%.

Roanoke College poll Aug. 7-17 (two-way race)
Clinton 55%
Trump 36%


That's in line with other recent polling of Virginia conducted over a similar time frame (August 7-17 for the Roanoke poll). A Quinnipiac poll taken within the same stretch found Clinton leading by 12 points, 50%-38%, while Washington Post poll showed Clinton up 51% to 43%.
Clinton performs better with her base than Trump in Virginia, as 91% of Democrats say they will vote for her, compared to 78% of Republicans who say they'll vote for Trump. Clinton's numbers have improved since May, while Trump's have declined over the same period. The former Secretary of State is winning Independents 43% to 25%.
Clinton has also seen her favorable rating increase, though she still remains underwater — 39% now say they have a favorable opinion of the Democratic nominee, and 45% say they view her unfavorably (up from 35%-50% in May). Trump, on the other hand, has seen his favorable rating remain at 23%, while the percentage of those saying they view him unfavorably grew from 56% in May to 63%.


Additionally, Clinton leads Trump on a range of top election issues according to the poll — likely Virginia voters give her the edge on the economy, terrorism, health care, and immigration, and she has nearly 40-point advantages on race relations and foreign policy.
The Roanoke poll also surveyed likely voters on Clinton's VP pick, Tim Kaine, who served as governor of Virginia before winning one of the state's U.S. Senate seats. Fifty-two percent said they had a favorable opinion of Kaine, up big from 32% in January — and well ahead of Trump's VP pick Mike Pence, who has a favorable rating of 24%, while 40% say they don't know enough to have an opinion.
The Roanoke College poll was conducted between August 7 and 17, and sampled 803 likely Virginia voters. It has a margin of error of 3.5 points.
src:http://edition.cnn.com/2016/08/23/politics/virginia-poll-clinton-over-trump/

 

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