Spain ReElection Opinion Poll , CIS survey,Spain Election, Mariano Rajoy, People Party, Socialists, Citizens, Podemos

Spain ReElection Opinion Poll , CIS survey,Spain Election, Mariano Rajoy, People Party, Socialists, Citizens, Podemos


 

A third election would do little to break Spain's political stalemate, with the People's Party (PP) of acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy seen winning the vote but coming far short of a parliamentary majority, an influential poll showed today.

 Pollster CIS
PP 32.50%
Socialists 23.10%
Unidos Podemos 19.60%
Ciudadanos 12%

INFO 9 SUGUST

 

Spain Exit Polls, Spanish General Election 2016 Exit polls, Spain repeat election exit polls, Popular Party, Podemos,PSOE

Spain Exit Polls, Spanish General Election 2016 Exit polls, Spain repeat election exit polls, Popular Party, Podemos,PSOE

The outgoing conservative Popular Party (PP) had based much of its campaign on trying to counter the rise of the upstart, emphasising the need for "stability" in the face of "populism" — and it reinforced this message Friday after Brexit. 

But according to a wide-ranging exit poll for public television TVE, it may only have won up to 121 parliamentary seats, far below the 176 needed for an absolute majority and even lower than the 123 it won in December.

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Unidos Podemos, meanwhile, looked poised to secure 91 to 95 seats, and the Socialists 81 to 85, according to the poll. 

TVE Exit Polls

Popular Party

117-121 seats

Unidos Podemos

91 – 95 seats

Socialists 

81 – 85

Ciudadanos

25-30 seats

But this also resulted in a 350-seat parliament so splintered that parties failed to agree on a coalition, prompting today's repeat vote. The general election in December had seen Podemos and centre-right upstart Ciudadanos uproot the country's two-party dominance in an unprecedented result. 

All eyes will now be on subsequent coalition negotiations, with political leaders under more pressure this time to form some sort of government and avoid a third round of elections. 

Throughout the campaign — and again on Friday after the Brexit vote — the PP had hammered away at the need for stability in reference to the rise of Unidos Podemos, which like Greece's ruling Syriza party rejects EU-backed austerity and pledges to fight for the least well-off.

Podemos (We Can) Party seen losing support ahead of Spain election, Spain General election June 2016,Spain Repeat election June 2016,Spain June Election Survey

Podemos (We Can) Party seen losing support ahead of Spain election, Spain General election June 2016,Spain Repeat election June 2016,Spain June Election Survey

Anti-austerity party of Spain’s, Podemos, is losing support ahead of country’s repeat general election to be held on June 26, an official survey showed here on Friday, although the vote would remain highly divided and would result in a hung parliament.

According to the poll, the voters would not go back to the two-party system that has dominated Spain’s political history for 40 years and would split their vote between 10 parties, even after the five months talk between political parties after a December election resulted in a failure to form government.

The poll predicted that Podemos would get 17.7% of votes against 20.6% they got in December election, while the conservative People’s Party of the acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy would win the voting with 27.4% which is down from 28.7% they got during December election. The Socialists would end second with 21.6% of the votes, down from 22.01%, and Liberal Ciudadonas would end at fourth place with 15.6% which is an up from 13.93% they secured in December.

This means that at least three parties, or may be more, would be required to reach an absolute majority in the Spanish parliament and form a stable government.

But there are several factors that could change the situation and help break the deadlock, the poll result showed.

During the December election Spain saw its highest Abstinence rate till date on record which is likely to increase further. The poll records 27.4% of the voters saying they are undecided or are likely to home compared to 24.5% of the voters in the previous survey that was done in January.

Currently a potential tie-up between Podemos and former Communist United left is under discussion that would jointly obtain 23.1% of the votes and thus becoming the main left-wing force ahead of the Socialists.

The survey was carried out on 2,500 voters in early April that is before it was clear whether a new election would be called or not.