Brexit EU Referendum, EU, UK, European Union, Brexit ,British EU Opinion Poll ,Europe,David Cameron, British prime minister

DATE

REMAIN

LEAVE

UNDECIDED

SAMPLE SIZE

FIRM

6- 8 MAY 2016

44%

46%

11%

2,005

ICM

3-6 MAY 2016

42%

40%

13%

3,378

YouGov

29 APRIL – 3 MAY 2016

44%

45%

11%

2,040

ICM

26 – 29 APRIL 2016

42%

41%

14%

2,005

OPINIUM

27 – 29 APRIL 2016

49%

51%

 

2,000

ORB

Brexit EU Referendum, EU, UK, European Union, Brexit ,British EU Opinion Poll ,Europe,David Cameron, British prime minister 

As the date for Brexit referendum is approaching near the buzz around it is gaining. David Cameron, British prime minister, declared June 23rd as the date of referendum, when United Kingdom will vote on the question of whether to stay “in” or “out” of the European Union.

Different experts have given different opinion about the probable pros and cons of being in the EU. Prime Minister Cameron himself has been pushing for UK to remain a part of EU. He has been campaigning to stay in the bloc after London Mayor Boris Johnson dealt a blow by backing a “Brexit”. 

The date of referendum is near and so various opinion polls have started to predict the outcome of the vote. Most of the opinion polls done by various prominent agencies predict a close vote between the “Ins” and “OUTs”. The data from different sources shows a deep divide in the people over the question of Brexit.The latest weekly online opinion poll conducted by the firm ICM between 6-8 may, 2016 shows that 44% of the people had voted for “Remain” and 46% had voted for “Leave” while 11% people remain undecided over what to vote.

The survey was conducted over a sample size of 2,005 people.Last week opinion poll by ICM between 29 April – May 3 2016 predicted 44% for the “Remain” and 45% for the “Leave”.Another prominent agency YouGov conduted an online poll between 3-6 May and found that 42% of the people voted for “Remain” while 40% voted for “Leave” and 13% people remained undecided. The survey was done over a sample size of 3,378 electorates.

Austria political crisis, Austria Presidential Election 2016 schedule/dates/timeline Opinion poll facts,Brief about Austria political crisis, Werner Faymann, Reinhold Mitterlehner,Austria Latest news updates

Austria political crisis, Austria Presidential Election 2016 schedule/dates/timeline Opinion poll facts,Brief about Austria political crisis, Werner Faymann, Reinhold Mitterlehner,Austria Latest news updates

The political crisis in Austria has been further worsened with the resigning of Austrian chancellor Werner Faymann. Mr. Faymann was under pressure owing to the loss his party faced in recently held presidential elections last month.

Mr. Faymann, who came to the power in 2008, has resigned as both – Austrian Chancellor and party president of Social Democrat Party (SPÖ). For now Vice Chancellor, Reinhold Mitterlehner, has been appointed as acting chancellor of the Austria. However it’s uncertain who will lead the party and become chancellor for the longer term.

Austrian general elections are due in 2018.

Chancellor Faymann was also under pressure because of the policy his government had adopted towards migrant crisis in Europe. Austria has long been facing the migrant crisis. Faymann, inititally, supported the “open-door” refugee policy of Germany. But as some 90,000 asylum-seekers arrived in Austria and public support for the policy crumbled, Faymann took a U-turn on the policy.

He was under attack from all sides for is handling of refugee crisis.

Mr. Faymann’s spokesperson, while announcing his resignation, said “This country needs a chancellor whose party is fully behind him…..The government needs a fresh start with energy. A chancellor who does not have this support cannot meet this challenge.”

Faymann’s resignation leaves Austria’s future uncertain while further strengthening the Far-right Freedom Party of Austria.

Norbert Hofer, Freedom Party’s candidate, emerged victorious with 35% vote share in the first round of presidential election held on 24 April, 2016 and Alexander van der bellen, independent, came second with 21% vote. While the candidates of both major parties – People’s party (ÖVP) and Social Democratic Party (SPÖ) – finished distant fourth and fifth respectively. Run-off elections (2nd round) for the top two finishers will be held on May 22, 2016.

The poor showcase of major parties in the recent election owes to the apprehensions fuelled by the refugee crisis in Europe.

For now the crisis in Austria doesn’t seems to disappear soon. It will be interesting to see further developments in Austria’s domestic politics.

Podemos (We Can) Party seen losing support ahead of Spain election, Spain General election June 2016,Spain Repeat election June 2016,Spain June Election Survey

Podemos (We Can) Party seen losing support ahead of Spain election, Spain General election June 2016,Spain Repeat election June 2016,Spain June Election Survey

Anti-austerity party of Spain’s, Podemos, is losing support ahead of country’s repeat general election to be held on June 26, an official survey showed here on Friday, although the vote would remain highly divided and would result in a hung parliament.

According to the poll, the voters would not go back to the two-party system that has dominated Spain’s political history for 40 years and would split their vote between 10 parties, even after the five months talk between political parties after a December election resulted in a failure to form government.

The poll predicted that Podemos would get 17.7% of votes against 20.6% they got in December election, while the conservative People’s Party of the acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy would win the voting with 27.4% which is down from 28.7% they got during December election. The Socialists would end second with 21.6% of the votes, down from 22.01%, and Liberal Ciudadonas would end at fourth place with 15.6% which is an up from 13.93% they secured in December.

This means that at least three parties, or may be more, would be required to reach an absolute majority in the Spanish parliament and form a stable government.

But there are several factors that could change the situation and help break the deadlock, the poll result showed.

During the December election Spain saw its highest Abstinence rate till date on record which is likely to increase further. The poll records 27.4% of the voters saying they are undecided or are likely to home compared to 24.5% of the voters in the previous survey that was done in January.

Currently a potential tie-up between Podemos and former Communist United left is under discussion that would jointly obtain 23.1% of the votes and thus becoming the main left-wing force ahead of the Socialists.

The survey was carried out on 2,500 voters in early April that is before it was clear whether a new election would be called or not.

Sadiq Khan becomes first Muslim who won London mayoral election, Labour Party, London’s first Muslim mayor, Sadiq Khan, Zac Goldsmith,Conservative , London Elections

Sadiq Khan becomes first Muslim who won London mayoral
election, Labour Party, London’s first Muslim mayor, Sadiq Khan, Zac
Goldsmith,Conservative , London Elections

Sadiq Khan, the son of a bus driver, became London’s first
Muslim mayor on Saturday, seeing off a Conservative challenger who attempted to
link him to extremism and securing a much-needed win for his opposition Labour
Party.

Khan’s victory, which also makes him the first Muslim to head
a major Western capital, was confirmed shortly after midnight inside London’s
futuristic glass and steel city hall following a day of mixed news for Labour
in elections elsewhere in the country.

Dealt a crushing blow in Scotland, where it came third behind
the Scottish National Party and Britain’s ruling Conservatives, Labour did
better than expected in England, saving its left-leaning leader from an early
challenge.

But the big prize was the London mayor vote, which pitted Khan,
45, who grew up in public housing in inner city London, against Conservative
Zac Goldsmith, 41, the son of a billionaire financier.

“This election was not without controversy and I am so
proud that London has today chosen hope over fear and unity over division,”
Khan said in a short speech after the results.

“I hope that we will never be offered such a stark
choice again. Fear does not make us safer, it only makes us weaker and the
politics of fear is simply not welcome in our city.”

Plaudits for Khan flooded in from as far afield as New York,
whose mayor Bill de Blasio said on Twitter: “Sending congratulations to
London’s new mayor and fellow affordable housing advocate, @SadiqKhan.”

Khan’s 13.6 percent margin of victory over Goldsmith was the
widest in a London mayoral election in 16 years, showing that a bitter campaign
marred by accusations that Khan had links to extremists and charges of
anti-Semitism within Labour ranks had failed to deter his voters.

The Labour lawmaker replaces Conservative Boris Johnson, who
ran the city of 8.6 million people for eight years. A top campaigner for
Britain to leave the EU, Johnson is seen as a contender to succeed David
Cameron as party leader and prime minister.

The Conservatives were keen to keep hold of the post, which
does not run the City of London financial district but has influence over
government in lobbying for the capital. The mayor is responsible for areas such
as policing, transport, housing and the environment.

Khan, looking exhausted after a much delayed result, made an
emotional speech referencing his Pakistani father, who he said would have been
“proud that the city he chose to call his home, has now chosen one of his
children to be the mayor.”

ACCUSATIONS

Khan held his lead in the opinion polls, despite accusations
by Goldsmith that he has shared platforms with radical Muslim speakers and
given “oxygen” to extremists.

Khan says he has fought extremism all his life and that he
regrets sharing a stage with speakers who held “abhorrent” views. The
Labour Party accused Goldsmith and the ruling Conservative Party of smearing
Khan.

Goldsmith denied the charge, saying he had raised legitimate
questions over his opponent’s judgment – but the tactics do seem to have
backfired, with some voters interviewed by Reuters saying they found the
campaign “disgusting and slimy”.

While fighting those charges, Khan, a former human rights
lawyer, also distanced himself from the newly elected Labour leader, Jeremy
Corbyn, after a row over anti-Semitism.

The Labour leader ordered an inquiry into charges of
anti-Semitism after suspending Ken Livingstone, a political ally and a former
London mayor, for saying Adolf Hitler had supported Zionism.

The impact of the crisis was difficult to gauge in the
election of more than 2,700 local officials and new devolved authorities in
Scotland and Wales.

Compared to the last regional elections in 2011, Labour’s
share of the vote was down 9.2 percent in Scotland and 7.6 percent in Wales,
allowing a strong showing for the anti-EU UK Independence Party before a
referendum on membership of the bloc on June 23.

But, with fewer losses in England than expected, Corbyn was
able to rally enough support to prevent an early challenge.

Corbyn, who was elected as party leader last year on a wave
of enthusiasm for change and an end to ‘establishment politics’ among mostly
younger members, welcomed some of the results and said he would fight to
re-establish Labour in Scotland.

“We hung on and we grew support in a lot of
places,” he said.

But he did little to quell criticism of his leadership in a
party which has moved from crisis to crisis, the latest the row over
anti-Semitism forcing Corbyn to suspend Livingstone.

Richard Angell, director of Labour activist group Progress,
said the party had to refocus on issues that concern voters.

“Corbyn need to shake up his operation, kick out Ken
Livingstone as a first step to nailing the anti-Semitism problem and focus on
voter-friendly policy,” he told
Reuters      .

src:  in.reuters.com

London mayoral election result, London Assembly Election, Sadiq Khan, English Local Council Election, Conservative Party, Boris Johnson,London,Labour Party, London Mayoral Election, Zac Goldsmith, London mayoral result

London mayoral election result, London Assembly Election, Sadiq Khan, English Local Council Election, Conservative Party, Boris Johnson,London,Labour Party, London Mayoral Election, Zac Goldsmith, London mayoral result

Conservatives are prepared to challenge the result of the London mayoral race through the courts if the result is tight following chaos at polling stations across the capital. Read more

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